边坡变形破坏的灰色预测预报
摘要:本文根据滑坡变形发展的规律,建立了以现场监测位移数据为基础的灰色预测GM (1,1)模型，并通过变形速率灰色Verhulst模型，建立了滑坡的滑动预报模型。据此，可对未来时刻的边坡变形及趋势作出预测，同时可以进行滑坡预报。文章论述了该方法的理论基础及基本原理和方法，同时还重点论述了数据的优化处理及模型检验与修正方法，并通过实例对该方法进行了实际验证。
Abstract:According to the law of deformation of landslide, the grey forecast GM(1, 1) based on the site observing displacement is built up in this paper. And the forecast model for landslide is set up accoroding to the grey Verhulst model of the deforming rate. Accordingly, the deformation and deforming trend of future can be calculated, and the landslide can be forecasted, The theory, and色principle i of this method is expound,0 It is emphatically expounded that 父the optimization processing of data and the inspection and revision of the model, This文method is质:verified by landslide cases.
中文标题：
边坡变形破坏的灰色预测预报
The Forecast of the Deformation and Failure of Slopes by Grey Theory
作者：
李宏义
Li Hongyi
通讯地址：
中国兵器工业北方勘察研究院
出版物：岩土工程技术
网络出版日期:2023-04-18
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